Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 14.762624 17.205381 19.865125 22.968264 26.480970 30.325434 34.842651
2025-06-01 10.268267 13.503433 17.392272 22.372244 28.537108 35.872541 45.210640
2025-06-08 7.430737 10.797413 15.183223 21.229301 29.248567 39.410105 53.131859
2025-06-15 6.243486 9.838481 14.833462 22.129340 32.333424 45.892077 65.020718
2025-06-22 5.236746 8.884113 14.254241 22.509388 34.599756 51.331190 75.825917
2025-06-29 4.272586 7.785980 13.254289 22.075407 35.559849 54.928790 84.251961
2025-07-06 3.426644 6.702004 12.084206 21.178581 35.657105 57.192806 90.826297
2025-07-13 3.153888 6.526958 12.312731 22.449080 39.099400 64.533324 105.199286
2025-07-20 2.891115 6.317626 12.440765 23.540511 42.313887 71.705797 119.725632
2025-07-27 2.597559 5.995066 12.319121 24.174851 44.806297 77.885584 133.061792
2025-08-03 2.280926 5.567712 11.944457 24.309361 46.445300 82.780369 144.630964
2025-08-10 1.945714 5.037514 11.300239 23.873191 47.040771 85.982593 153.635862
2025-08-17 1.617907 4.483512 10.581093 23.311718 47.538119 89.343493 163.617318
2025-08-24 1.334075 3.971662 9.879512 22.720993 47.972007 92.713430 174.004164
2025-08-31 1.057323 3.404181 8.959944 21.564802 47.218847 93.943926 180.827126
2025-09-07 0.967745 3.299022 9.042608 22.477455 50.492647 102.510575 200.803906
2025-09-14 0.856723 3.106365 8.890196 22.862718 52.749658 109.366365 218.145171
2025-09-21 0.717818 2.793513 8.394351 22.422870 53.288858 113.065792 230.029861
2025-09-28 0.580514 2.441806 7.734335 21.513845 52.752904 114.673461 238.162600
2025-10-05 0.553797 2.444862 7.998229 22.801609 56.973511 125.657022 264.199656
2025-10-12 0.521199 2.419022 8.179567 23.907763 60.883391 136.250197 290.015295
2025-10-19 0.475123 2.331305 8.174303 24.550616 63.819586 145.079041 312.907930
2025-10-26 0.418610 2.186040 7.978648 24.686927 65.625607 151.738336 331.955436